E-Voting News and Analysis, from the Experts

Monday January 31, 2005

Exit Poll Post Mortem

Filed under: — Felten @ 8:42 am PST

Paul Velleman at left2right has an interesting analysis of the exit poll data from the November presidential election.

His conclusions:
(1) Discrepancies between exit polls and votes cannot be explained by random chance, so the discrepancies must have had a systematic cause.
(2) Explanations given by the exit pollsters are not statistically plausible.
(3) We don’t yet have an adequate explanation. Perhaps we’ll find one after the exit pollsters release their precinct-by-precinct data.

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